Zambia Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2027

Zambia Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2027

Once Zambia have enough completed CAF World Cup Qualifiers matches with expected goals (xg) data, per-game averages and player leaders will publish here. The match-by-match table above updates after every game.

Zambia Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xg) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Zambia vs Algeria on 25.09.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do Zambia's expected goals (xg) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Zambia's expected goals (xg) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2027.

Zambia player expected goals rates

Player	Position	Apps	Expected goals	Per game	1+ hit rate
Patson Daka	attacker	6	0.27	0.05	0%
Lameck Banda	attacker	4	0.21	0.05	0%
Dominic Chanda	defender	4	0.15	0.04	0%
Kings Kangwa	midfielder	4	0.12	0.03	0%
Lubambo Musonda	defender	5	0.06	0.01	0%
Benson Sakala	midfielder	5	0.06	0.01	0%
Fashion Sakala	attacker	5	0.05	0.01	0%
David Simukonda	midfielder	4	0.04	0.01	0%
Mathews Banda	defender	3	0.02	0.01	0%
Owen Tembo	midfielder	3	0.01	0	0%
Joseph Sabobo	attacker	4	0	0	0%
Willard Mwanza	goalkeeper	4	0	0	0%
Kabaso Chongo	defender	3	0	0	0%
Miguel Chaiwa	midfielder	3	0	0	0%
Kennedy Musonda	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Obino Chisala	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
Gift Prosper Mphande	defender	2	0	0	0%
David Hamansenya	defender	2	0	0	0%
Eliya Mandanji	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Frankie Musonda	defender	1	0	0	0%
Lawrence Mulenga	goalkeeper	1	0	0	0%
Toaster Nsabata	goalkeeper	1	0	0	0%
Edward Chilufya	attacker	1	0	0	0%
Chanka Zimba	attacker	1	0	0	0%
Patrick Chooma	goalkeeper	1	0	0	0%

Zambia expected goals match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team expected goals	Opposition expected goals	Match total	Top player
31 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Argentina	Away	5-0	0
31 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Zimbabwe	Away	1-0	0
28 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Malawi	Home	0-0	0
29 Dec 2025	Africa Cup of Nations	Morocco	Home	0-3	0.07
26 Dec 2025	Africa Cup of Nations	Comoros	Home	0-0	0.44
22 Dec 2025	Africa Cup of Nations	Mali	Away	1-1	0.5
16 Dec 2025	Friendly International	DR Congo	Home	2-0	0
18 Nov 2025	Friendly International	Angola	Away	3-2	0
15 Nov 2025	Friendly International	South Africa	Away	3-1	0
12 Oct 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Niger	Home	0-1	0

Zambia expected goals (xg) 2027: last 10 games

Expected goals (xg) for per game

0.17

Expected goals (xg) against per game

1

Match total expected goals (xg) per game

1.17

Games

6

League rank for match expected goals (xg)

1 of 57

Zambia Expected goals (xg) for 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	3	0.33	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	6	0.17	17%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Zambia Expected goals (xg) against 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	3	1	67%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	1	67%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	6	1	67%	33%	0%	0%	0%

Zambia Match total 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	3	1.33	67%	67%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	1	67%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	6	1.17	67%	50%	0%	0%	0%

Zambia Team expected goals (xg) 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) / match	0.17	0.33	0
Expected goals (xg) over 0.5	17%	33%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 1.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Zambia Expected goals (xg) against 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Expected goals (xg) against	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) against / match	1	1	1
Expected goals (xg) against over 0.5	67%	67%	67%
Expected goals (xg) against over 1.5	33%	33%	33%
Expected goals (xg) against over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Zambia Match expected goals (xg) 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Match expected goals (xg) / match	1.17	1.33	1
Match expected goals (xg) over 0.5	67%	67%	67%
Match expected goals (xg) over 1.5	50%	67%	33%
Match expected goals (xg) over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Zambia expected goals (xg) match by match 2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
31 Mar	Friendly International	Argentina (A)	5-0	0	1	1	-
29 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Morocco (H)	0-3	0	2	2	-
26 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Comoros (H)	0-0	0	0	0	-
22 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Mali (A)	1-1	0	2	2	-
15 Nov	Friendly International	South Africa (A)	3-1	0	0	0	-
12 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Niger (H)	0-1	1	1	2	-

CAF World Cup Qualifiers expected goals (xg) table 2027: every team's expected goals (xg) per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
1	Zambia	7	1.14	0.86	2	14%
2	Congo	5	0.6	1.4	2	20%
3	Seychelles	10	0.1	1.9	2	20%
4	Cameroon	10	1.2	0.6	1.8	10%
5	Cameroon	10	1.2	0.6	1.8	10%
6	Lesotho	10	0.3	1.4	1.7	10%
7	Senegal	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
8	Burkina Faso	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
9	Gambia	10	1	0.6	1.6	0%
10	Egypt	9	1.33	0.22	1.56	11%
11	Côte d'Ivoire	10	1.3	0.2	1.5	10%
12	Ghana	10	1	0.5	1.5	10%
13	Botswana	10	0.7	0.8	1.5	10%
14	Eswatini	10	0.5	1	1.5	10%
15	Central African Republic	10	0.4	1.1	1.5	0%
16	Djibouti	10	0.4	1.1	1.5	10%
17	São Tomé and Príncipe	10	0.1	1.4	1.5	0%
18	Angola	9	1	0.44	1.44	0%
19	Niger	7	0.43	1	1.43	0%
20	Tunisia	10	1.2	0.2	1.4	10%
21	Kenya	10	0.9	0.5	1.4	10%
22	Zimbabwe	10	0.4	1	1.4	0%
23	Morocco	8	1.25	0.13	1.38	0%
24	Sierra Leone	8	0.5	0.88	1.38	0%
25	Mali	9	1.11	0.22	1.33	0%
26	Malawi	9	0.56	0.78	1.33	11%
27	Ethiopia	9	0.33	1	1.33	0%
28	Cape Verde Islands	10	0.8	0.5	1.3	0%
29	Madagascar	10	0.5	0.8	1.3	10%
30	Libya	10	0.5	0.8	1.3	0%
31	Sudan	10	0.3	1	1.3	10%
32	South Sudan	10	0.2	1.1	1.3	10%
33	Nigeria	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
34	Nigeria	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
35	Gabon	11	0.73	0.55	1.27	0%
36	Gabon	11	0.73	0.55	1.27	0%
37	Congo DR	12	0.83	0.42	1.25	0%
38	Congo DR	12	0.83	0.42	1.25	0%
39	Namibia	9	0.78	0.44	1.22	0%
40	Chad	9	0.22	1	1.22	0%
41	Comoros	10	0.8	0.4	1.2	0%
42	Algeria	10	0.7	0.5	1.2	10%
43	Mauritania	10	0.7	0.5	1.2	0%
44	Guinea-Bissau	10	0.6	0.6	1.2	0%
45	Burundi	10	0.4	0.8	1.2	0%
46	Mauritius	10	0.3	0.9	1.2	0%
47	Somalia	10	0.2	1	1.2	10%
48	Equatorial Guinea	7	0.86	0.29	1.14	0%
49	Mozambique	9	0.56	0.56	1.11	11%
50	Liberia	9	0.44	0.67	1.11	0%
51	Togo	10	0.7	0.4	1.1	0%
52	South Africa	10	0.9	0.1	1	0%
53	Uganda	9	0.78	0.22	1	0%
54	Guinea	10	0.6	0.4	1	0%
55	Benin	10	0.5	0.5	1	10%
56	Tanzania	7	0.29	0.71	1	0%
57	Rwanda	9	0.44	0.44	0.89	0%

Zambia expected goals (xg) against top-half and bottom-half teams 2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Vs top six	7	1.14	0.86	2	14%
Vs top half	7	1.14	0.86	2	14%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Zambia expected goals (xg) per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2025	5	0.6	0.2	0.8	0%
Africa Cup of Nations	2025	3	0	1.33	1.33	0%
Friendly International	2025	2	0	1	1	0%

Zambia next three opponents: expected goals (xg) per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their expected goals (xg) for	Their expected goals (xg) against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Fri 25 Sep 19:00	Algeria (away)	1.63	1	0.63	2	1.4	0.6
Tue 29 Sep 16:00	Togo (home)	0.83	0.5	0.33	0.67	0.33	0.33

Algeria expected goals (xg) match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
3 Jul	World Cup	Switzerland (A)	2-0	0	2	2	-
28 Jun	World Cup	Austria (H)	3-3	1	1	2	-
23 Jun	World Cup	Jordan (A)	1-2	1	0	1	-
17 Jun	World Cup	Argentina (A)	3-0	0	0	0	-
31 Mar	Friendly International	Uruguay (H)	0-0	0	0	0	-
27 Mar	Friendly International	Guatemala (H)	7-0	6	0	6	-
10 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Nigeria (H)	0-2	0	2	2	-
6 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	DR Congo (H)	1-0	0	0	0	-

Explore Zambia stats on Statz

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Zambia recent matches

• Zambia 0-5 Argentina — match stats
• Argentina stats
• Friendly International stats & standings
• Zambia 0-1 Zimbabwe — match stats
• Zimbabwe stats
• Zambia 0-0 Malawi — match stats
• Malawi stats
• Zambia 0-3 Morocco — match stats
• Morocco stats
• Africa Cup of Nations stats & standings
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Zambia next match

• Algeria vs Zambia - match preview, projections & bet builder