Senegal Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2027

Senegal Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2027

Once Senegal have enough completed CAF World Cup Qualifiers matches with expected goals (xg) data, per-game averages and player leaders will publish here. The match-by-match table above updates after every game.

Senegal Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xg) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Senegal vs Mozambique on 25.09.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do Senegal's expected goals (xg) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Senegal's expected goals (xg) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2027.

Senegal player expected goals rates

Player	Position	Apps	Expected goals	Per game	1+ hit rate
Ismaïla Sarr	attacker	7	4.52	0.65	29%
Pape Gueye	midfielder	8	1.17	0.15	0%
Habib Diarra	midfielder	7	0.98	0.14	0%
Nicolas Jackson	attacker	9	0.75	0.08	0%
Sadio Mané	attacker	8	0.65	0.08	0%
Cherif Ndiaye	attacker	4	0.56	0.14	0%
Pathé Ciss	midfielder	5	0.34	0.07	0%
Lamine Camara	midfielder	10	0.3	0.03	0%
Iliman Ndiaye	attacker	6	0.3	0.05	0%
Ibrahim Mbaye	attacker	5	0.28	0.06	0%
Idrissa Gueye	midfielder	7	0.2	0.03	0%
Pape Matar Sarr	midfielder	2	0.14	0.07	0%
Moussa Niakhaté	defender	8	0.09	0.01	0%
Ismail Jakobs	defender	6	0.09	0.02	0%
Mamadou Sarr	defender	6	0.05	0.01	0%
Krépin Diatta	midfielder	9	0.04	0	0%
Abdoulaye Seck	defender	3	0.02	0.01	0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye	midfielder	2	0.02	0.01	0%
El Hadji Malick Diouf	defender	8	0	0	0%
Edouard Mendy	goalkeeper	5	0	0	0%
Mory Diaw	goalkeeper	5	0	0	0%
Kalidou Koulibaly	defender	3	0	0	0%
Assane Diao	attacker	3	0	0	0%
Bamba Dieng	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Antoine Mendy	defender	2	0	0	0%

Senegal expected goals match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team expected goals	Opposition expected goals	Match total	Top player
1 Jul 2026	World Cup	Belgium	Away	3-2	2.94
26 Jun 2026	World Cup	Iraq	Home	5-0	3.1
23 Jun 2026	World Cup	Norway	Away	3-2	2.19
16 Jun 2026	World Cup	France	Away	3-1	0.61
9 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Saudi Arabia	Away	0-0	0
31 May 2026	Friendly International	USA	Away	3-2	0
31 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Gambia	Home	3-1	0
28 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Peru	Home	2-0	0
18 Jan 2026	Africa Cup of Nations	Morocco	Home	0-3	1.53
14 Jan 2026	Africa Cup of Nations	Egypt	Home	1-0	0.52

Senegal expected goals (xg) 2027: last 10 games

Expected goals (xg) for per game

1.5

Expected goals (xg) against per game

0.88

Match total expected goals (xg) per game

2.38

Games

8

League rank for match expected goals (xg)

7 of 57

Senegal Expected goals (xg) for 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	1.6	80%	60%	20%	0%	0%
Away	3	1.33	67%	67%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	8	1.5	75%	63%	13%	0%	0%

Senegal Expected goals (xg) against 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	0.6	40%	20%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	1.33	100%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	8	0.88	63%	25%	0%	0%	0%

Senegal Match total 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	2.2	80%	80%	60%	0%	0%
Away	3	2.67	100%	67%	67%	33%	0%
Overall	8	2.38	88%	75%	63%	13%	0%

Senegal Team expected goals (xg) 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) / match	1.5	1.6	1.33
Expected goals (xg) over 0.5	75%	80%	67%
Expected goals (xg) over 1.5	63%	60%	67%
Expected goals (xg) over 2.5	13%	20%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Senegal Expected goals (xg) against 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Expected goals (xg) against	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) against / match	0.88	0.6	1.33
Expected goals (xg) against over 0.5	63%	40%	100%
Expected goals (xg) against over 1.5	25%	20%	33%
Expected goals (xg) against over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Senegal Match expected goals (xg) 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Match expected goals (xg) / match	2.38	2.2	2.67
Match expected goals (xg) over 0.5	88%	80%	100%
Match expected goals (xg) over 1.5	75%	80%	67%
Match expected goals (xg) over 2.5	63%	60%	67%
Match expected goals (xg) over 3.5	13%	0%	33%
Match expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Senegal expected goals (xg) match by match 2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
1 Jul	World Cup	Belgium (A)	3-2	2	2	4	-
26 Jun	World Cup	Iraq (H)	5-0	3	0	3	-
23 Jun	World Cup	Norway (A)	3-2	2	1	3	-
16 Jun	World Cup	France (A)	3-1	0	1	1	-
31 Mar	Friendly International	Gambia (H)	3-1	2	1	3	-
28 Mar	Friendly International	Peru (H)	2-0	2	0	2	-
18 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Morocco (H)	0-3	1	2	3	-
14 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Egypt (H)	1-0	0	0	0	-

CAF World Cup Qualifiers expected goals (xg) table 2027: every team's expected goals (xg) per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
1	Zambia	7	1.14	0.86	2	14%
2	Congo	5	0.6	1.4	2	20%
3	Seychelles	10	0.1	1.9	2	20%
4	Cameroon	10	1.2	0.6	1.8	10%
5	Cameroon	10	1.2	0.6	1.8	10%
6	Lesotho	10	0.3	1.4	1.7	10%
7	Senegal	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
8	Burkina Faso	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
9	Gambia	10	1	0.6	1.6	0%
10	Egypt	9	1.33	0.22	1.56	11%
11	Côte d'Ivoire	10	1.3	0.2	1.5	10%
12	Ghana	10	1	0.5	1.5	10%
13	Botswana	10	0.7	0.8	1.5	10%
14	Eswatini	10	0.5	1	1.5	10%
15	Central African Republic	10	0.4	1.1	1.5	0%
16	Djibouti	10	0.4	1.1	1.5	10%
17	São Tomé and Príncipe	10	0.1	1.4	1.5	0%
18	Angola	9	1	0.44	1.44	0%
19	Niger	7	0.43	1	1.43	0%
20	Tunisia	10	1.2	0.2	1.4	10%
21	Kenya	10	0.9	0.5	1.4	10%
22	Zimbabwe	10	0.4	1	1.4	0%
23	Morocco	8	1.25	0.13	1.38	0%
24	Sierra Leone	8	0.5	0.88	1.38	0%
25	Mali	9	1.11	0.22	1.33	0%
26	Malawi	9	0.56	0.78	1.33	11%
27	Ethiopia	9	0.33	1	1.33	0%
28	Cape Verde Islands	10	0.8	0.5	1.3	0%
29	Madagascar	10	0.5	0.8	1.3	10%
30	Libya	10	0.5	0.8	1.3	0%
31	Sudan	10	0.3	1	1.3	10%
32	South Sudan	10	0.2	1.1	1.3	10%
33	Nigeria	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
34	Nigeria	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
35	Gabon	11	0.73	0.55	1.27	0%
36	Gabon	11	0.73	0.55	1.27	0%
37	Congo DR	12	0.83	0.42	1.25	0%
38	Congo DR	12	0.83	0.42	1.25	0%
39	Namibia	9	0.78	0.44	1.22	0%
40	Chad	9	0.22	1	1.22	0%
41	Comoros	10	0.8	0.4	1.2	0%
42	Algeria	10	0.7	0.5	1.2	10%
43	Mauritania	10	0.7	0.5	1.2	0%
44	Guinea-Bissau	10	0.6	0.6	1.2	0%
45	Burundi	10	0.4	0.8	1.2	0%
46	Mauritius	10	0.3	0.9	1.2	0%
47	Somalia	10	0.2	1	1.2	10%
48	Equatorial Guinea	7	0.86	0.29	1.14	0%
49	Mozambique	9	0.56	0.56	1.11	11%
50	Liberia	9	0.44	0.67	1.11	0%
51	Togo	10	0.7	0.4	1.1	0%
52	South Africa	10	0.9	0.1	1	0%
53	Uganda	9	0.78	0.22	1	0%
54	Guinea	10	0.6	0.4	1	0%
55	Benin	10	0.5	0.5	1	10%
56	Tanzania	7	0.29	0.71	1	0%
57	Rwanda	9	0.44	0.44	0.89	0%

Senegal expected goals (xg) against top-half and bottom-half teams 2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Vs top six	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
Vs top half	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Senegal expected goals (xg) per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Africa Cup of Nations	2025	7	1.14	0.43	1.57	29%
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2025	6	1.67	0.33	2	33%
Friendly International	2025	3	0.67	0.67	1.33	0%
Friendly International	2024	3	1	0	1	0%

Senegal next three opponents: expected goals (xg) per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their expected goals (xg) for	Their expected goals (xg) against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Fri 25 Sep 13:00	Mozambique (away)	1.25	0.25	1	0.5	0	0.5
Tue 29 Sep 13:00	Ethiopia (away)	1.43	0.29	1.14	1.5	0.5	1

Mozambique expected goals (xg) match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
5 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Nigeria (A)	4-0	0	2	2	-
31 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Cameroon (H)	1-2	0	1	1	-
28 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Gabon (A)	2-3	1	2	3	-
24 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Ivory Coast (A)	1-0	0	1	1	-
17 Nov	Friendly International	Chad (A)	2-2	1	0	1	-
14 Nov	Friendly International	Morocco (A)	1-0	0	2	2	-
14 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Somalia (A)	0-1	0	0	0	-
9 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Guinea (H)	1-2	0	0	0	-

Explore Senegal stats on Statz

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