Ethiopia Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2027

Ethiopia Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2027

Once Ethiopia have enough completed CAF World Cup Qualifiers matches with expected goals (xg) data, per-game averages and player leaders will publish here. The match-by-match table above updates after every game.

Ethiopia Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xg) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Ethiopia vs Sudan on 25.09.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do Ethiopia's expected goals (xg) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Ethiopia's expected goals (xg) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2027.

Ethiopia player expected goals rates

Player	Position	Apps	Expected goals	Per game	1+ hit rate
Bereket Desta	attacker	6	0	0	0%
Ramkel James	defender	6	0	0	0%
Chernet Gugsa	attacker	5	0	0	0%
Bereket Waza	midfielder	5	0	0	0%
Abubeker Nura	goalkeeper	4	0	0	0%
Wogene Gezahegn	attacker	4	0	0	0%
Ahmed Reshid	defender	3	0	0	0%
Asrat Tonjo	defender	3	0	0	0%
Abdulkarim Worku	midfielder	3	0	0	0%
Yared Moges		3	0	0	0%
Yared Baye	defender	2	0	0	0%
Firew Getahun	goalkeeper	2	0	0	0%
Canaan Markneh	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
A. Nasir	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Suleman Hamid	defender	2	0	0	0%
Biniam Ayten	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
Aschalew Tamene	defender	1	0	0	0%
Beneyam Demte	attacker	1	0	0	0%
Amanuel Yohannes	midfielder	1	0	0	0%
Ramadan Yesuf	defender	1	0	0	0%
Amanuel Terfa	defender	1	0	0	0%
Bekele Berhane	defender	1	0	0	0%
Kitika Jemma	attacker	1	0	0	0%
Bruk Markos		1	0	0	0%

Ethiopia expected goals match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team expected goals	Opposition expected goals	Match total	Top player
9 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Malawi	Home	1-1	0
6 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Malawi	Home	1-0	0
31 Mar 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe	Home	1-0	0
27 Mar 2026	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe	Away	0-3	0
12 Oct 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Burkina Faso	Away	3-1	0
8 Oct 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Guinea-Bissau	Home	1-0	0
9 Sep 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Sierra Leone	Away	2-0	0
5 Sep 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt	Away	2-0	0
24 Mar 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Djibouti	Home	6-1	0
21 Mar 2025	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt	Home	0-2	0

Ethiopia expected goals (xg) 2027: last 10 games

Expected goals (xg) for per game

0.29

Expected goals (xg) against per game

1.14

Match total expected goals (xg) per game

1.43

Games

7

League rank for match expected goals (xg)

27 of 57

Ethiopia Expected goals (xg) for 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	4	0.5	50%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	7	0.29	29%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Expected goals (xg) against 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	4	1	75%	25%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	1.33	67%	67%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	7	1.14	71%	43%	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Match total 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	4	1.5	100%	50%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	1.33	67%	67%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	7	1.43	86%	57%	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Team expected goals (xg) 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) / match	0.29	0.5	0
Expected goals (xg) over 0.5	29%	50%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 1.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Expected goals (xg) against 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Expected goals (xg) against	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) against / match	1.14	1	1.33
Expected goals (xg) against over 0.5	71%	75%	67%
Expected goals (xg) against over 1.5	43%	25%	67%
Expected goals (xg) against over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia Match expected goals (xg) 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Match expected goals (xg) / match	1.43	1.5	1.33
Match expected goals (xg) over 0.5	86%	100%	67%
Match expected goals (xg) over 1.5	57%	50%	67%
Match expected goals (xg) over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Ethiopia expected goals (xg) match by match 2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
31 Mar	Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	São Tomé and Príncipe (H)	1-0	1	0	1	-
12 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Burkina Faso (A)	3-1	0	2	2	-
8 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Guinea-Bissau (H)	1-0	0	1	1	-
9 Sep	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Sierra Leone (A)	2-0	0	0	0	-
5 Sep	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt (A)	2-0	0	2	2	-
24 Mar	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Djibouti (H)	6-1	1	1	2	-
21 Mar	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Egypt (H)	0-2	0	2	2	-

CAF World Cup Qualifiers expected goals (xg) table 2027: every team's expected goals (xg) per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
1	Zambia	7	1.14	0.86	2	14%
2	Congo	5	0.6	1.4	2	20%
3	Seychelles	10	0.1	1.9	2	20%
4	Cameroon	10	1.2	0.6	1.8	10%
5	Cameroon	10	1.2	0.6	1.8	10%
6	Lesotho	10	0.3	1.4	1.7	10%
7	Senegal	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
8	Burkina Faso	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
9	Gambia	10	1	0.6	1.6	0%
10	Egypt	9	1.33	0.22	1.56	11%
11	Côte d'Ivoire	10	1.3	0.2	1.5	10%
12	Ghana	10	1	0.5	1.5	10%
13	Botswana	10	0.7	0.8	1.5	10%
14	Eswatini	10	0.5	1	1.5	10%
15	Central African Republic	10	0.4	1.1	1.5	0%
16	Djibouti	10	0.4	1.1	1.5	10%
17	São Tomé and Príncipe	10	0.1	1.4	1.5	0%
18	Angola	9	1	0.44	1.44	0%
19	Niger	7	0.43	1	1.43	0%
20	Tunisia	10	1.2	0.2	1.4	10%
21	Kenya	10	0.9	0.5	1.4	10%
22	Zimbabwe	10	0.4	1	1.4	0%
23	Morocco	8	1.25	0.13	1.38	0%
24	Sierra Leone	8	0.5	0.88	1.38	0%
25	Mali	9	1.11	0.22	1.33	0%
26	Malawi	9	0.56	0.78	1.33	11%
27	Ethiopia	9	0.33	1	1.33	0%
28	Cape Verde Islands	10	0.8	0.5	1.3	0%
29	Madagascar	10	0.5	0.8	1.3	10%
30	Libya	10	0.5	0.8	1.3	0%
31	Sudan	10	0.3	1	1.3	10%
32	South Sudan	10	0.2	1.1	1.3	10%
33	Nigeria	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
34	Nigeria	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
35	Gabon	11	0.73	0.55	1.27	0%
36	Gabon	11	0.73	0.55	1.27	0%
37	Congo DR	12	0.83	0.42	1.25	0%
38	Congo DR	12	0.83	0.42	1.25	0%
39	Namibia	9	0.78	0.44	1.22	0%
40	Chad	9	0.22	1	1.22	0%
41	Comoros	10	0.8	0.4	1.2	0%
42	Algeria	10	0.7	0.5	1.2	10%
43	Mauritania	10	0.7	0.5	1.2	0%
44	Guinea-Bissau	10	0.6	0.6	1.2	0%
45	Burundi	10	0.4	0.8	1.2	0%
46	Mauritius	10	0.3	0.9	1.2	0%
47	Somalia	10	0.2	1	1.2	10%
48	Equatorial Guinea	7	0.86	0.29	1.14	0%
49	Mozambique	9	0.56	0.56	1.11	11%
50	Liberia	9	0.44	0.67	1.11	0%
51	Togo	10	0.7	0.4	1.1	0%
52	South Africa	10	0.9	0.1	1	0%
53	Uganda	9	0.78	0.22	1	0%
54	Guinea	10	0.6	0.4	1	0%
55	Benin	10	0.5	0.5	1	10%
56	Tanzania	7	0.29	0.71	1	0%
57	Rwanda	9	0.44	0.44	0.89	0%

Ethiopia expected goals (xg) against top-half and bottom-half teams 2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Vs top six	9	0.33	1	1.33	0%
Vs top half	9	0.33	1	1.33	0%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Ethiopia expected goals (xg) per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2027	1	1	0	1	0%
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2025	6	0.33	0.83	1.17	17%
Friendly International	2024	2	1	0	1	0%

Ethiopia next three opponents: expected goals (xg) per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their expected goals (xg) for	Their expected goals (xg) against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Fri 25 Sep 16:00	Sudan (away)	1	0.29	0.71	1	1	0
Tue 29 Sep 13:00	Senegal (home)	2.38	1.5	0.88	2.67	1.33	1.33

Sudan expected goals (xg) match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
3 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Senegal (A)	3-1	0	1	1	-
31 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Burkina Faso (H)	0-2	1	0	1	-
28 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Equatorial Guinea (A)	0-1	0	1	1	-
24 Dec	Africa Cup of Nations	Algeria (A)	3-0	0	1	1	-
14 Nov	Friendly International	Oman (A)	2-0	0	1	1	-
14 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	DR Congo (A)	1-0	0	1	1	-
10 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Mauritania (H)	0-0	1	0	1	-

Explore Ethiopia stats on Statz

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Ethiopia recent matches

• Ethiopia 1-1 Malawi — match stats
• Malawi stats
• Friendly International stats & standings
• Ethiopia 1-0 Malawi — match stats
• Ethiopia 1-0 São Tomé and Príncipe — match stats
• São Tomé and Príncipe stats
• Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications stats & standings
• Ethiopia 3-0 São Tomé and Príncipe — match stats
• Ethiopia 1-3 Burkina Faso — match stats
• Burkina Faso stats
• CAF World Cup Qualifiers stats & standings
• Ethiopia 1-0 Guinea-Bissau — match stats
• Guinea-Bissau stats

Ethiopia next match

• Sudan vs Ethiopia - match preview, projections & bet builder