Nigeria Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2027

Nigeria Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2027

Once Nigeria have enough completed CAF World Cup Qualifiers matches with expected goals (xg) data, per-game averages and player leaders will publish here. The match-by-match table above updates after every game.

Nigeria Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xg) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Nigeria vs Madagascar on 25.09.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do Nigeria's expected goals (xg) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Nigeria's expected goals (xg) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2027.

Nigeria player expected goals rates

Player	Position	Apps	Expected goals	Per game	1+ hit rate
Victor Osimhen	attacker	3	2.09	0.7	33%
Akor Adams	attacker	7	1.56	0.22	0%
Ademola Lookman	attacker	6	0.43	0.07	0%
Frank Onyeka	midfielder	5	0.2	0.04	0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel	defender	6	0.19	0.03	0%
Moses Simon	attacker	7	0.15	0.02	0%
Bruno Onyemaechi	defender	6	0.14	0.02	0%
Calvin Bassey	defender	4	0.13	0.03	0%
Semi Ajayi	defender	6	0.12	0.02	0%
Samuel Chukwueze	attacker	2	0.1	0.05	0%
Raphael Onyedika	midfielder	5	0.06	0.01	0%
Alex Iwobi	attacker	7	0.05	0.01	0%
Wilfred Ndidi	midfielder	5	0.02	0	0%
Igoh Ogbu	defender	4	0	0	0%
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru	midfielder	4	0	0	0%
Stanley Nwabali	goalkeeper	4	0	0	0%
Paul Onuachu	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Chidera Ejuke	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Maduka Okoye	goalkeeper	2	0	0	0%
Zaidu Sanusi	defender	2	0	0	0%
Terem Moffi	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Emmanuel Fernandez	defender	2	0	0	0%
Tochukwu Nnadi	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
Chibuike Nwaiwu	defender	2	0	0	0%
Chidozie Awaziem	defender	1	0	0	0%

Nigeria expected goals match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team expected goals	Opposition expected goals	Match total	Top player
10 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Portugal	Away	2-1	0
3 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Poland	Away	2-2	0
30 May 2026	Friendly International	Jamaica	Away	0-3	0
26 May 2026	Friendly International	Zimbabwe	Home	2-0	0
31 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Jordan	Away	2-2	0
27 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Iran	Away	1-2	0
17 Jan 2026	Africa Cup of Nations	Egypt	Away	0-0	0.18
14 Jan 2026	Africa Cup of Nations	Morocco	Home	0-0	0.08
10 Jan 2026	Africa Cup of Nations	Algeria	Away	0-2	2.26
5 Jan 2026	Africa Cup of Nations	Mozambique	Home	4-0	2.83

Nigeria expected goals (xg) 2027: last 10 games

Expected goals (xg) for per game

0.8

Expected goals (xg) against per game

0.4

Match total expected goals (xg) per game

1.2

Games

5

League rank for match expected goals (xg)

33 of 57

Nigeria Expected goals (xg) for 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	2	1	50%	50%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	0.67	33%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	5	0.8	40%	40%	0%	0%	0%

Nigeria Expected goals (xg) against 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	2	0.5	50%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	0.33	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	5	0.4	40%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Nigeria Match total 2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	2	1.5	100%	50%	0%	0%	0%
Away	3	1	67%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	5	1.2	80%	40%	0%	0%	0%

Nigeria Team expected goals (xg) 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) / match	0.8	1	0.67
Expected goals (xg) over 0.5	40%	50%	33%
Expected goals (xg) over 1.5	40%	50%	33%
Expected goals (xg) over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Nigeria Expected goals (xg) against 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Expected goals (xg) against	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) against / match	0.4	0.5	0.33
Expected goals (xg) against over 0.5	40%	50%	33%
Expected goals (xg) against over 1.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Nigeria Match expected goals (xg) 2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Match expected goals (xg) / match	1.2	1.5	1
Match expected goals (xg) over 0.5	80%	100%	67%
Match expected goals (xg) over 1.5	40%	50%	33%
Match expected goals (xg) over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Nigeria expected goals (xg) match by match 2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
31 Mar	Friendly International	Jordan (A)	2-2	0	1	1	-
17 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Egypt (A)	0-0	0	0	0	-
14 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Morocco (H)	0-0	0	1	1	-
10 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Algeria (A)	0-2	2	0	2	-
5 Jan	Africa Cup of Nations	Mozambique (H)	4-0	2	0	2	-

CAF World Cup Qualifiers expected goals (xg) table 2027: every team's expected goals (xg) per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
1	Zambia	7	1.14	0.86	2	14%
2	Congo	5	0.6	1.4	2	20%
3	Seychelles	10	0.1	1.9	2	20%
4	Cameroon	10	1.2	0.6	1.8	10%
5	Cameroon	10	1.2	0.6	1.8	10%
6	Lesotho	10	0.3	1.4	1.7	10%
7	Senegal	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
8	Burkina Faso	10	1.1	0.5	1.6	0%
9	Gambia	10	1	0.6	1.6	0%
10	Egypt	9	1.33	0.22	1.56	11%
11	Côte d'Ivoire	10	1.3	0.2	1.5	10%
12	Ghana	10	1	0.5	1.5	10%
13	Botswana	10	0.7	0.8	1.5	10%
14	Eswatini	10	0.5	1	1.5	10%
15	Central African Republic	10	0.4	1.1	1.5	0%
16	Djibouti	10	0.4	1.1	1.5	10%
17	São Tomé and Príncipe	10	0.1	1.4	1.5	0%
18	Angola	9	1	0.44	1.44	0%
19	Niger	7	0.43	1	1.43	0%
20	Tunisia	10	1.2	0.2	1.4	10%
21	Kenya	10	0.9	0.5	1.4	10%
22	Zimbabwe	10	0.4	1	1.4	0%
23	Morocco	8	1.25	0.13	1.38	0%
24	Sierra Leone	8	0.5	0.88	1.38	0%
25	Mali	9	1.11	0.22	1.33	0%
26	Malawi	9	0.56	0.78	1.33	11%
27	Ethiopia	9	0.33	1	1.33	0%
28	Cape Verde Islands	10	0.8	0.5	1.3	0%
29	Madagascar	10	0.5	0.8	1.3	10%
30	Libya	10	0.5	0.8	1.3	0%
31	Sudan	10	0.3	1	1.3	10%
32	South Sudan	10	0.2	1.1	1.3	10%
33	Nigeria	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
34	Nigeria	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
35	Gabon	11	0.73	0.55	1.27	0%
36	Gabon	11	0.73	0.55	1.27	0%
37	Congo DR	12	0.83	0.42	1.25	0%
38	Congo DR	12	0.83	0.42	1.25	0%
39	Namibia	9	0.78	0.44	1.22	0%
40	Chad	9	0.22	1	1.22	0%
41	Comoros	10	0.8	0.4	1.2	0%
42	Algeria	10	0.7	0.5	1.2	10%
43	Mauritania	10	0.7	0.5	1.2	0%
44	Guinea-Bissau	10	0.6	0.6	1.2	0%
45	Burundi	10	0.4	0.8	1.2	0%
46	Mauritius	10	0.3	0.9	1.2	0%
47	Somalia	10	0.2	1	1.2	10%
48	Equatorial Guinea	7	0.86	0.29	1.14	0%
49	Mozambique	9	0.56	0.56	1.11	11%
50	Liberia	9	0.44	0.67	1.11	0%
51	Togo	10	0.7	0.4	1.1	0%
52	South Africa	10	0.9	0.1	1	0%
53	Uganda	9	0.78	0.22	1	0%
54	Guinea	10	0.6	0.4	1	0%
55	Benin	10	0.5	0.5	1	10%
56	Tanzania	7	0.29	0.71	1	0%
57	Rwanda	9	0.44	0.44	0.89	0%

Nigeria expected goals (xg) against top-half and bottom-half teams 2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Vs top six	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
Vs top half	11	1.09	0.18	1.27	0%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Nigeria expected goals (xg) per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Africa Cup of Nations	2025	7	1.29	0.29	1.57	14%
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	2025	5	1	0	1	0%
Friendly International	2025	3	0.33	0.33	0.67	0%
Friendly International	2024	1	1	1	2	0%

Nigeria next three opponents: expected goals (xg) per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their expected goals (xg) for	Their expected goals (xg) against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Fri 25 Sep 16:00	Madagascar (home)	0.83	0.33	0.5	1	0.33	0.67
Tue 29 Sep 16:00	Guinea-Bissau (away)	1.1	0.4	0.7	0.75	0.5	0.25
Tue 6 Oct 00:00	Russia (away)	2	2	0	2	2	0

Madagascar expected goals (xg) match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
12 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Mali (A)	4-1	0	0	0	-
8 Oct	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Comoros (A)	1-2	1	1	2	-
8 Sep	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Chad (H)	3-1	1	0	1	-
4 Sep	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Central African Republic (H)	2-0	0	0	0	-
8 Jun	Friendly International	DR Congo (A)	3-1	0	1	1	-
24 Mar	CAF World Cup Qualifiers	Ghana (H)	0-3	0	1	1	-

Explore Nigeria stats on Statz

• Madagascar expected goals (xg)
• Nigeria stats hub
• Statz Bet Builder

Nigeria stats & bet builder pages

• Nigeria Team Stats
• Nigeria Shots On Target
• Nigeria Shots
• Nigeria Fouls Committed
• Nigeria Tackles
• Nigeria Goals
• Nigeria Assists
• Nigeria Fouls Drawn
• Nigeria Yellow Cards
• Nigeria Corners
• Nigeria Big Chances Missed
• Nigeria Offsides
• Nigeria Chances Created
• Nigeria Through Balls
• Nigeria Accurate Through Balls
• Nigeria Passes
• Nigeria Accurate Passes
• Nigeria Total Crosses
• Nigeria Accurate Crosses
• Nigeria Long Balls
• Nigeria Accurate Long Balls
• Nigeria Dribble Attempts
• Nigeria Successful Dribbles
• Nigeria Touches
• Nigeria Interceptions
• Nigeria Aerials Won
• Nigeria Duels Won
• Nigeria Clearances
• Nigeria Blocked Shots
• Nigeria Ball Recoveries
• Nigeria Tackles Won

Nigeria recent matches

• Nigeria 1-2 Portugal — match stats
• Portugal stats
• Friendly International stats & standings
• Nigeria 2-2 Poland — match stats
• Poland stats
• Nigeria 3-0 Jamaica — match stats
• Jamaica stats
• Nigeria 2-0 Zimbabwe — match stats
• Zimbabwe stats
• Nigeria 2-2 Jordan — match stats
• Jordan stats
• Nigeria 2-1 Iran — match stats
• Iran stats

Nigeria next match

• Nigeria vs Madagascar - match preview, projections & bet builder