Derby are averaging 4.3 shots on target per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 10.4 total SOT on average. That puts them 23rd of 24 for team SOT per match in their primary competition. Below you'll find player SOT-rate forecasts, the matchup read for the upcoming fixture against West Ham, and a full match-by-match log.
Sammie Szmodics leads with 10 shots on target across 9 qualifying appearances (1.11/g, 78% hit rate). The SOT-rate table below ranks every Derby player by SOT per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes), six-game form mask and current Bet365 1+ SOT price.
Derby are averaging 4.3 shots on target per game over 10 games and concede 6.1 for a match-total of 10.4. That ranks 23rd of 24 for team SOT in their primary competition. They take 11.8 shots per game and create 8.2 key passes per game.
SOT matchup blends our attackers' on-target rate (50%) with the opposition's SOT conceded per game (50%). For the upcoming fixture against West Ham, the page weights each Derby attacker against the opposition's last-season SOT-conceded rate.
Derby take 11.8 shots per game and put 4.3 on target. Players who shoot speculatively often have a low SOT-per-shot ratio; the context panel surfaces the shots/g funnel so you can see the conversion rate.
All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz — 10 Derby fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027. Player odds come from Bet365 player markets when priced.
Derby are currently converting 30% of their shots on target into goals. A high conversion rate means finishing well; a low one means SOT volume but not yet goals. Pair this with the shots/g funnel to read how the goals number is built.
| Player | Position | Apps | Shots on target | Per game | 1+ hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammie Szmodics | midfielder | 9 | 10 | 1.11 | 78% |
| Carlton Morris | attacker | 8 | 8 | 1 | 75% |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | attacker | 3 | 4 | 1.33 | 67% |
| Jaydon Banel | attacker | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 60% |
| Oscar Fraulo | midfielder | 7 | 3 | 0.43 | 43% |
| Joe Ward | midfielder | 8 | 4 | 0.5 | 38% |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | attacker | 3 | 2 | 0.67 | 33% |
| Sondre Langås | defender | 9 | 2 | 0.22 | 22% |
| David Ozoh | midfielder | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 20% |
| Matt Clarke | defender | 6 | 1 | 0.17 | 17% |
| Bobby Clark | midfielder | 6 | 2 | 0.33 | 17% |
| Max Johnston | defender | 7 | 1 | 0.14 | 14% |
| Lewis Travis | midfielder | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | goalkeeper | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Dion Sanderson | defender | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Craig Forsyth | defender | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Charlie Taylor | defender | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Ben Brereton Díaz | attacker | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Alex Mowatt | midfielder | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Rhian Brewster | attacker | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Ryan Hedges | attacker | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Derry Murkin | defender | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Filip Bilbija | attacker | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Richard O'Donnell | goalkeeper | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Owen Eames | midfielder | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Team shots on target | Opposition shots on target | Match total | Top player |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth | Away | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (3) |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Swansea City | Home | 0-3 | 0 | 12 | 12 | |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Cardiff City | Home | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 14 | Bobby Clark (2) |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Charlton Athletic | Away | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | Sammie Szmodics (2) |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Lincoln City | Home | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | Sammie Szmodics (2) |
| 2 May 2026 | Sheffield United | Home | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | Joe Ward (2) |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | Away | 2-3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | Sondre Langås (1) |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Norwich City | Away | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | 14 | Carlton Morris (2) |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Oxford United | Home | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | Sammie Szmodics (1) |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Southampton | Away | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | Carlton Morris (2) |