Italy Key Passes Stats 2026/2027

Italy Key Passes Stats 2026/2027 - season overview

Italy are averaging 15 key passes per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 22.9 total key passes on average. That puts them 33rd of 54 for chances created per match in their primary competition. Below you'll find every Italy player's key-pass rate and create-shots hit percentage, the upcoming fixture against Belgium, and a full match-by-match log.

Frequently Asked Questions

What counts as a created shot in the Player to Create Shots market?

A key pass or an assist. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who attempts a shot without scoring; if that teammate scores, the pass is recorded as an assist instead. Bookmakers settle create-shots lines on Opta data as the sum of both, so every chance created counts once.

Does this table include assists in the key pass numbers?

No - the table shows key passes only. Because a create-shots line settles on key passes plus assists, a Italy player's true market number is equal to or higher than what you see here. The hit rates are a conservative floor for the create-shots market.

Which bookmakers offer the create shots market?

Bet365 lists it as Player To Create Shots in its bet builder, and Sky Bet and Paddy Power carry the same market family in theirs. Lines and player coverage vary by fixture - creative midfielders and attacking full-backs are priced most often.

How does Super Sub affect create shots settlement?

At Sky Bet and Paddy Power, if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line and the substitute's chances created count towards your bet. Bet365 instead runs Sub On Play On - a player who enters as a substitute has his own bet stand, with his output counting from the moment he comes on.

Which Italy players create the most shots?

Sandro Tonali leads with 19 key passes across 7 qualifying appearances (2.71/g, 71% hit rate). The table ranks every Italy player by key passes per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes) with hit rates at the 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines and six-game form.

Where do these key passes stats come from?

All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz - 10 Italy fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027. Bookmakers settle the create-shots market on Opta's count, which can differ by the odd marginal touch, so always treat the bookmaker's feed as final for settlement.

What is the create shots market?

Player to Create Shots is a bet builder market where you back a player to set up a number of shots for his teammates - typically 1+, 2+ or 3+ across the 90 minutes. Bookmakers settle it on Opta data as the cumulative total of a player's key passes plus his assists. A key pass is the final pass to a teammate who then attempts a shot without scoring; if the teammate scores, that pass upgrades from a key pass to an assist. Both count towards a create-shots line, so the market is effectively a bet on chances created. One honest note on this table: it shows key passes only. A player's create-shots number at the bookmaker is his key passes PLUS his assists, so for Italy players who register assists the table slightly understates the market line. Treat the hit rates here as a conservative floor - a player hitting 2+ key passes regularly clears a 2+ create-shots line at least as often.

Bet365 player to create shots

Bet365 lists the market as Player To Create Shots inside its bet builder, usually at 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines for the creative midfielders and full-backs in each side. Bet365's player markets run Sub On Play On rules: if your player comes on as a substitute, his bet stands and his output from the moment he enters counts in full. Use the Lineup only toggle above the table to focus the Italy numbers on players expected to start.

Sky Bet create shots

Sky Bet carries create shots selections in its bet builder and applies its Super Sub rule to player markets: if the player you backed is substituted off, the player who replaces him continues the line, and the substitute's key passes and assists count towards your bet. That makes team-level creativity - how many chances Italy generate as a side - matter as much as the individual you pick, because the line survives a substitution.

Paddy Power create shots

Paddy Power offers the same create-shots market family in its bet builder, also with Super Sub settlement - a replaced starter's line is continued by the player who comes on for him. As with any player market, settlement follows the bookmaker's official data feed (Opta), so a marginal touch that our data logs as a key pass will almost always match, but the bookmaker's count is the one that settles the bet.

How to use this table for create shots bets

Start with the hit percentage at your line: step the table between 1+, 2+ and 3+ key passes and read how often each Italy player has cleared that number per qualifying appearance (20+ minutes). The Match grid view shows the raw counts game by game - green cells mark matches where the player hit the active line - and the form dots track his last six. The Super Sub toggle folds substitutes' key passes into each starter's fixture cells, mirroring how Sky Bet and Paddy Power settle. It also points at a structural edge: books price a starter's line on his per-90 output, while Super Sub rules quietly add his replacement's output on top - so at those books, lines on players in high-rotation positions are slightly better than they look. Pair the hit rates with the chances created per game number and the over/under dials below before building the leg.

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Italy player key passes rates

Player Position Apps Key passes Per game 1+ hit rate
Mattia Zaccagni attacker 2 7 3.5 100%
Leonardo Spinazzola defender 2 3 1.5 100%
Davide Bartesaghi defender 2 5 2.5 100%
Luca Lipani midfielder 2 3 1.5 100%
Raoul Bellanova midfielder 1 2 2 100%
Alessandro Buongiorno defender 1 2 2 100%
Gianluca Scamacca attacker 1 2 2 100%
Marco Palestra defender 1 2 2 100%
Luigi Cherubini attacker 1 3 3 100%
Jeff Ekhator attacker 1 1 1 100%
Federico Dimarco defender 7 15 2.14 86%
Nicolò Barella midfielder 7 10 1.43 86%
Manuel Locatelli midfielder 5 5 1 80%
Giacomo Raspadori attacker 4 5 1.25 75%
Andrea Cambiaso defender 4 6 1.5 75%
Sandro Tonali midfielder 7 19 2.71 71%
Riccardo Orsolini attacker 3 6 2 67%
Mateo Retegui attacker 8 12 1.5 63%
Pio Esposito attacker 8 8 1 63%
Riccardo Calafiori defender 5 5 1 60%
Gianluca Mancini defender 6 5 0.83 50%
Moise Kean attacker 4 3 0.75 50%
Cher Ndour midfielder 2 2 1 50%
Luca Koleosho attacker 2 1 0.5 50%
Pietro Comuzzo defender 2 1 0.5 50%

Italy key passes match by match

Date Competition Opponent Venue Score Team key passes Opposition key passes Match total Top player
7 Jun 2026 Friendly International Greece Away 0-1 9 7 16 Pio Esposito (3)
3 Jun 2026 Friendly International Luxembourg Away 0-1 14 9 23 Davide Bartesaghi (3)
31 Mar 2026 WC Qualification Europe Bosnia and Herzegovina Away 1-1 6 25 31 Marco Palestra (2)
26 Mar 2026 WC Qualification Europe Northern Ireland Home 2-0 15 6 21 Federico Dimarco (4)
16 Nov 2025 WC Qualification Europe Norway Home 1-4 12 12 24 Matteo Politano (4)
13 Nov 2025 WC Qualification Europe Moldova Away 0-2 22 2 24 Mattia Zaccagni (4)
14 Oct 2025 WC Qualification Europe Israel Home 3-0 11 7 18 Sandro Tonali (3)
11 Oct 2025 WC Qualification Europe Estonia Away 1-3 17 1 18 Sandro Tonali (5)
8 Sep 2025 WC Qualification Europe Israel Away 4-5 14 8 22 Sandro Tonali (3)
5 Sep 2025 WC Qualification Europe Estonia Home 5-0 30 2 32 Sandro Tonali (5)

Italy key passes 2026/2027: last 10 games

Key passes for per game
15
Key passes against per game
7.9
Match total key passes per game
22.9
Games
10

Italy Key passes for 2026/2027 by venue

Scope Games Average Over 6.5 % Over 8.5 % Over 10.5 % Over 12.5 % Over 14.5 %
Home 4 17 100% 100% 100% 50% 50%
Away 6 13.67 83% 83% 67% 67% 33%
Overall 10 15 90% 90% 80% 60% 40%

Italy Key passes against 2026/2027 by venue

Scope Games Average Over 6.5 % Over 8.5 % Over 10.5 % Over 12.5 % Over 14.5 %
Home 4 6.75 50% 25% 25% 0% 0%
Away 6 8.67 67% 33% 17% 17% 17%
Overall 10 7.9 60% 30% 20% 10% 10%

Italy Match total 2026/2027 by venue

Scope Games Average Over 14.5 % Over 16.5 % Over 18.5 % Over 20.5 % Over 22.5 %
Home 4 23.75 100% 100% 75% 75% 50%
Away 6 22.33 100% 83% 67% 67% 50%
Overall 10 22.9 100% 90% 70% 70% 50%

Italy Team key passes 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team key passes Overall Home Away
Key passes / match 15 17 13.67
Key passes over 6.5 90% 100% 83%
Key passes over 8.5 90% 100% 83%
Key passes over 10.5 80% 100% 67%
Key passes over 12.5 60% 50% 67%
Key passes over 14.5 40% 50% 33%

Italy Key passes against 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Key passes against Overall Home Away
Key passes against / match 7.9 6.75 8.67
Key passes against over 6.5 60% 50% 67%
Key passes against over 8.5 30% 25% 33%
Key passes against over 10.5 20% 25% 17%
Key passes against over 12.5 10% 0% 17%
Key passes against over 14.5 10% 0% 17%

Italy Match key passes 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match key passes Overall Home Away
Match key passes / match 22.9 23.75 22.33
Match key passes over 14.5 100% 100% 100%
Match key passes over 16.5 90% 100% 83%
Match key passes over 18.5 70% 75% 67%
Match key passes over 20.5 70% 75% 67%
Match key passes over 22.5 50% 50% 50%

Italy key passes match by match 2026/2027

Date Competition Opponent Score Key passes for Key passes against Match total 1st-half total
7 Jun Friendly International Greece (A) 0-1 9 7 16 -
3 Jun Friendly International Luxembourg (A) 0-1 14 9 23 -
31 Mar WC Qualification Europe Bosnia (A) 1-1 6 25 31 -
26 Mar WC Qualification Europe Northern Ireland (H) 2-0 15 6 21 -
16 Nov WC Qualification Europe Norway (H) 1-4 12 12 24 -
13 Nov WC Qualification Europe Moldova (A) 0-2 22 2 24 -
14 Oct WC Qualification Europe Israel (H) 3-0 11 7 18 -
11 Oct WC Qualification Europe Estonia (A) 1-3 17 1 18 -
8 Sep WC Qualification Europe Israel (A) 4-5 14 8 22 -
5 Sep WC Qualification Europe Estonia (H) 5-0 30 2 32 -

Italy key passes against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026/2027

Opponents Games For per game Against per game Match total per game Over 18.5 %
Vs top six 8 7.75 7.75 15.5 13%
Vs top half 8 7.75 7.75 15.5 13%
Vs bottom half 0 - - - -
Vs bottom six 0 - - - -

Italy key passes per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition Season Games For per game Against per game Match total per game Over 18.5 %
WC Qualification Europe 2026 10 15.5 8.3 23.8 70%
Friendly International 2026 2 11.5 8 19.5 50%
UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 8 7.75 7.75 15.5 13%

Italy next three opponents: key passes per game this season

Kick-off Opponent Their match total Their key passes for Their key passes against Match total at that venue For at that venue Against at that venue
Fri 25 Sep 18:45 Belgium (home) 21 13.1 7.9 18.33 11 7.33
Mon 28 Sep 18:45 Turkey (away) 21.3 13.3 8 21.33 14 7.33
Fri 2 Oct 18:45 France (away) 20 14 6 20.13 13.88 6.25

Belgium key passes match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date Competition Opponent Score Key passes for Key passes against Match total 1st-half total
10 Jul World Cup Spain (A) 2-1 2 13 15 -
7 Jul World Cup USA (A) 1-4 13 5 18 -
1 Jul World Cup Senegal (H) 3-2 15 13 28 -
27 Jun World Cup New Zealand (A) 1-5 28 3 31 -
21 Jun World Cup Iran (H) 0-0 16 6 22 -
15 Jun World Cup Egypt (H) 1-1 13 10 23 -
6 Jun Friendly International Tunisia (H) 5-0 21 6 27 -
2 Jun Friendly International Croatia (A) 0-2 5 5 10 -
1 Apr Friendly International Mexico (A) 1-1 3 7 10 -
28 Mar Friendly International USA (A) 2-5 15 11 26 -

Explore key passes on Statz

  • Shots created betting guide
  • Key Passes in the Statz Bet Builder
  • Belgium key passes
  • Italy stats hub

Italy stats & bet builder pages

  • Italy Team Stats
  • Italy Shots On Target
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  • Italy Fouls Committed
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  • Italy Assists
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  • Italy Yellow Cards
  • Italy Corners
  • Italy Expected Goals (xG)
  • Italy Big Chances Missed
  • Italy Offsides
  • Italy Through Balls
  • Italy Accurate Through Balls
  • Italy Passes
  • Italy Accurate Passes
  • Italy Total Crosses
  • Italy Accurate Crosses
  • Italy Long Balls
  • Italy Accurate Long Balls
  • Italy Dribble Attempts
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  • Italy Touches
  • Italy Interceptions
  • Italy Aerials Won
  • Italy Duels Won
  • Italy Clearances
  • Italy Blocked Shots
  • Italy Ball Recoveries
  • Italy Tackles Won

Italy recent matches

  • Italy 1-0 Greece — match stats
  • Greece stats
  • Friendly International stats & standings
  • Italy 1-0 Luxembourg — match stats
  • Luxembourg stats
  • Italy 1-1 Bosnia — match stats
  • Bosnia stats
  • WC Qualification Europe stats & standings
  • Italy 2-0 Northern Ireland — match stats
  • Northern Ireland stats
  • Italy 1-4 Norway — match stats
  • Norway stats
  • Italy 2-0 Moldova — match stats
  • Moldova stats

Italy next match

  • Italy vs Belgium - match preview, projections & bet builder

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