Italy Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026/2027

Italy Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2024/2025

Italy have recorded 12 expected goals (xg) across 8 UEFA Nations League games in 2024/2025, averaging 1.5 per match. D. Frattesi leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xg) - 0.39 per game. M. Retegui is next with 1.

Italy Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Over their last 10 games, Italy are averaging 1.5 expected goals (xg) per match - D. Frattesi leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xg) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Italy vs Belgium on 25.09.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many expected goals (xg) do Italy average per game?

Italy average 1.5 expected goals (xg) per UEFA Nations League game in 2024/2025, based on 8 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.5 per match.

Who leads Italy for expected goals (xg)?

D. Frattesi leads Italy for expected goals (xg) in 2024/2025 with 2 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.39 per game. M. Retegui is second with 1.

How do Italy's expected goals (xg) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Italy's expected goals (xg) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2024/2025.

Italy player expected goals rates

Player	Position	Apps	Expected goals	Per game	1+ hit rate
Mateo Retegui	attacker	8	4.45	0.56	38%
Pio Esposito	attacker	8	2.92	0.36	13%
Moise Kean	attacker	4	2.32	0.58	0%
Sandro Tonali	midfielder	7	1.06	0.15	0%
Giacomo Raspadori	attacker	4	0.88	0.22	0%
Mattia Zaccagni	attacker	2	0.86	0.43	0%
Federico Dimarco	defender	7	0.83	0.12	0%
Gianluca Mancini	defender	6	0.81	0.14	0%
Riccardo Orsolini	attacker	3	0.59	0.2	0%
Alessandro Bastoni	defender	6	0.58	0.1	0%
Riccardo Calafiori	defender	5	0.54	0.11	0%
Matteo Politano	attacker	5	0.53	0.11	0%
Andrea Cambiaso	defender	4	0.29	0.07	0%
Gianluca Scamacca	attacker	1	0.27	0.27	0%
Manuel Locatelli	midfielder	5	0.2	0.04	0%
Nicolò Barella	midfielder	7	0.19	0.03	0%
Bryan Cristante	midfielder	3	0.19	0.06	0%
Leonardo Spinazzola	defender	2	0.15	0.07	0%
Davide Frattesi	midfielder	3	0.1	0.03	0%
Giovanni Di Lorenzo	defender	5	0.02	0	0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma	goalkeeper	9	0	0	0%
Federico Gatti	defender	2	0	0	0%
Cher Ndour	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
Fabio Chiarodia	defender	2	0	0	0%
Luca Lipani	midfielder	2	0	0	0%

Italy expected goals match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team expected goals
7 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Greece	Away	0-1	0
3 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Luxembourg	Away	0-1	0
31 Mar 2026	WC Qualification Europe	Bosnia	Away	1-1	0.75
26 Mar 2026	WC Qualification Europe	Northern Ireland	Home	2-0	1.4
16 Nov 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Norway	Home	1-4	1.72
13 Nov 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Moldova	Away	0-2	3.33
14 Oct 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Israel	Home	3-0	2.59
11 Oct 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Estonia	Away	1-3	2.49
8 Sep 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Israel	Away	4-5	2.39
5 Sep 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Estonia	Home	5-0	4.39

Italy expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: last 10 games

Expected goals (xg) for per game: 1.88
Expected goals (xg) against per game: 0.5
Match total expected goals (xg) per game: 2.38
Games: 8

Italy Expected goals (xg) for 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	4	2	100%	50%	25%	25%	0%
Away	4	1.75	75%	75%	25%	0%	0%
Overall	8	1.88	88%	63%	25%	13%	0%

Italy Expected goals (xg) against 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	4	0.25	25%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Away	4	0.75	50%	25%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	8	0.5	38%	13%	0%	0%	0%

Italy Match total 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	4	2.25	100%	75%	25%	25%	0%
Away	4	2.5	100%	100%	50%	0%	0%
Overall	8	2.38	100%	88%	38%	13%	0%

Italy Team expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) / match	1.88	2	1.75
Expected goals (xg) over 0.5	88%	100%	75%
Expected goals (xg) over 1.5	63%	50%	75%
Expected goals (xg) over 2.5	25%	25%	25%
Expected goals (xg) over 3.5	13%	25%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Italy Expected goals (xg) against 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Expected goals (xg) against	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) against / match	0.5	0.25	0.75
Expected goals (xg) against over 0.5	38%	25%	50%
Expected goals (xg) against over 1.5	13%	0%	25%
Expected goals (xg) against over 2.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Italy Match expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Match expected goals (xg) / match	2.38	2.25	2.5
Match expected goals (xg) over 0.5	100%	100%	100%
Match expected goals (xg) over 1.5	88%	75%	100%
Match expected goals (xg) over 2.5	38%	25%	50%
Match expected goals (xg) over 3.5	13%	25%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Italy expected goals (xg) match by match 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
31 Mar	WC Qualification Europe	Bosnia (A)	1-1	0	2	2	-
26 Mar	WC Qualification Europe	Northern Ireland (H)	2-0	1	0	1	-
16 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Norway (H)	1-4	1	1	2	-
13 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Moldova (A)	0-2	3	0	3	-
14 Oct	WC Qualification Europe	Israel (H)	3-0	2	0	2	-
11 Oct	WC Qualification Europe	Estonia (A)	1-3	2	0	2	-
8 Sep	WC Qualification Europe	Israel (A)	4-5	2	1	3	-
5 Sep	WC Qualification Europe	Estonia (H)	5-0	4	0	4	-

Italy expected goals (xg) against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026/2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Vs top six	8	1	0.5	1.5	13%
Vs top half	8	1	0.5	1.5	13%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Italy expected goals (xg) per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
WC Qualification Europe	2026	10	1.7	0.4	2.1	30%
UEFA Nations League	2024/2025	8	1	0.5	1.5	13%

Italy next three opponents: expected goals (xg) per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their expected goals (xg) for	Their expected goals (xg) against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Fri 25 Sep 18:45	Belgium (home)	2.25	1.63	0.63	2.2	1.6	0.6
Mon 28 Sep 18:45	Turkey (away)	1.75	1.25	0.5	1.6	1.4	0.2
Fri 2 Oct 18:45	France (away)	1.75	1.25	0.5	1.83	1.33	0.5

Belgium expected goals (xg) match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
10 Jul	World Cup	Spain (A)	2-1	0	2	2	-
7 Jul	World Cup	USA (A)	1-4	2	0	2	-
1 Jul	World Cup	Senegal (H)	3-2	2	2	4	-
27 Jun	World Cup	New Zealand (A)	1-5	4	0	4	-
21 Jun	World Cup	Iran (H)	0-0	2	0	2	-
15 Jun	World Cup	Egypt (H)	1-1	1	0	1	-
1 Apr	Friendly International	Mexico (A)	1-1	0	0	0	-
28 Mar	Friendly International	USA (A)	2-5	2	1	3	-