Wales Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2026/2027

Wales Expected Goals (xG) Stats 2024/2025

Wales have recorded 8 expected goals (xg) across 6 UEFA Nations League games in 2024/2025, averaging 1.3 per match. H. Wilson leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xg) - 0.34 per game. B. Johnson is next with 1.

Wales Expected Goals (xG): Form & Insights

Over their last 10 games, Wales are averaging 1.3 expected goals (xg) per match - H. Wilson leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xg) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Wales vs Portugal on 24.09.2026.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many expected goals (xg) do Wales average per game?

Wales average 1.3 expected goals (xg) per UEFA Nations League game in 2024/2025, based on 6 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.3 per match.

Who leads Wales for expected goals (xg)?

H. Wilson leads Wales for expected goals (xg) in 2024/2025 with 2 in UEFA Nations League - an average of 0.34 per game. B. Johnson is second with 1.

How do Wales's expected goals (xg) break down home vs away?

Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Wales's expected goals (xg) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2024/2025.

Wales player expected goals rates

Player	Position	Apps	Expected goals	Per game	1+ hit rate
Harry Wilson	attacker	7	2.33	0.33	14%
Daniel James	attacker	8	1.23	0.15	0%
Jordan James	midfielder	5	1.02	0.2	0%
David Brooks	attacker	9	0.84	0.09	0%
Nathan Broadhead	attacker	5	0.74	0.15	0%
Mark Harris	attacker	5	0.71	0.14	0%
Brennan Johnson	attacker	6	0.48	0.08	0%
Ben Davies	defender	4	0.42	0.11	0%
Neco Williams	defender	10	0.39	0.04	0%
Kieffer Moore	attacker	4	0.28	0.07	0%
Liam Cullen	midfielder	4	0.28	0.07	0%
Joe Rodon	defender	8	0.25	0.03	0%
Lewis Koumas	attacker	5	0.15	0.03	0%
Ethan Ampadu	midfielder	6	0.13	0.02	0%
Sorba Thomas	attacker	8	0.09	0.01	0%
Josh Sheehan	midfielder	6	0.09	0.01	0%
Ben Cabango	defender	3	0.07	0.02	0%
Rubin Colwill	midfielder	1	0.07	0.07	0%
Chris Mepham	defender	3	0.01	0	0%
Karl Darlow	goalkeeper	8	0	0	0%
Jay Dasilva	defender	6	0	0	0%
Dylan Lawlor	defender	6	0	0	0%
Rhys Norrington-Davies	defender	2	0	0	0%
Kai Andrews	midfielder	2	0	0	0%
Joel Colwill	midfielder	2	0	0	0%

Wales expected goals match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team expected goals
6 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Romania	Away	2-1	0
2 Jun 2026	Friendly International	Ghana	Home	1-1	0
31 Mar 2026	Friendly International	Northern Ireland	Home	1-1	0
26 Mar 2026	WC Qualification Europe	Bosnia	Home	1-1	1.6
18 Nov 2025	WC Qualification Europe	North Macedonia	Home	7-1	3.82
15 Nov 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Liechtenstein	Away	0-1	2.15
13 Oct 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Belgium	Home	2-4	1.07
9 Oct 2025	Friendly International	England	Away	3-0	0
9 Sep 2025	Friendly International	Canada	Home	0-1	0
4 Sep 2025	WC Qualification Europe	Kazakhstan	Away	0-1	1.21

Wales expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: last 10 games

Expected goals (xg) for per game: 1.25
Expected goals (xg) against per game: 0.88
Match total expected goals (xg) per game: 2.13
Games: 8

Wales Expected goals (xg) for 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	1.2	80%	20%	20%	0%	0%
Away	3	1.33	100%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	8	1.25	88%	25%	13%	0%	0%

Wales Expected goals (xg) against 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	1	60%	20%	20%	0%	0%
Away	3	0.67	33%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	8	0.88	50%	25%	13%	0%	0%

Wales Match total 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 0.5 %	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %
Home	5	2.2	80%	80%	40%	20%	0%
Away	3	2	100%	67%	33%	0%	0%
Overall	8	2.13	88%	75%	38%	13%	0%

Wales Team expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) / match	1.25	1.2	1.33
Expected goals (xg) over 0.5	88%	80%	100%
Expected goals (xg) over 1.5	25%	20%	33%
Expected goals (xg) over 2.5	13%	20%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Wales Expected goals (xg) against 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Expected goals (xg) against	Overall	Home	Away
Expected goals (xg) against / match	0.88	1	0.67
Expected goals (xg) against over 0.5	50%	60%	33%
Expected goals (xg) against over 1.5	25%	20%	33%
Expected goals (xg) against over 2.5	13%	20%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 3.5	0%	0%	0%
Expected goals (xg) against over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Wales Match expected goals (xg) 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match expected goals (xg)	Overall	Home	Away
Match expected goals (xg) / match	2.13	2.2	2
Match expected goals (xg) over 0.5	88%	80%	100%
Match expected goals (xg) over 1.5	75%	80%	67%
Match expected goals (xg) over 2.5	38%	40%	33%
Match expected goals (xg) over 3.5	13%	20%	0%
Match expected goals (xg) over 4.5	0%	0%	0%

Wales expected goals (xg) match by match 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
31 Mar	Friendly International	Northern Ireland (H)	1-1	1	1	2	-
26 Mar	WC Qualification Europe	Bosnia (H)	1-1	1	1	2	-
18 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	North Macedonia (H)	7-1	3	0	3	-
15 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Liechtenstein (A)	0-1	2	0	2	-
13 Oct	WC Qualification Europe	Belgium (H)	2-4	1	3	4	-
9 Oct	Friendly International	England (A)	3-0	1	2	3	-
9 Sep	Friendly International	Canada (H)	0-1	0	0	0	-
4 Sep	WC Qualification Europe	Kazakhstan (A)	0-1	1	0	1	-

Wales expected goals (xg) against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026/2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Vs top six	6	1	1	2	17%
Vs top half	6	1	1	2	17%
Vs bottom half	0	-	-	-	-
Vs bottom six	0	-	-	-	-

Wales expected goals (xg) per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 2.5 %
Friendly International	2025	2	0.5	1	1.5	50%
WC Qualification Europe	2026	9	1.78	0.89	2.67	56%
Friendly International	2026	1	1	1	2	0%

Wales next three opponents: expected goals (xg) per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their expected goals (xg) for	Their expected goals (xg) against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Thu 24 Sep 18:45	Portugal (away)	1.75	1.5	0.25	2.2	2	0.2
Sun 27 Sep 16:00	Denmark (away)	2	1.75	0.25	2	1.75	0.25
Thu 1 Oct 18:45	Norway (home)	1.63	0.63	1	2	0.75	1.25

Portugal expected goals (xg) match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Expected goals (xg) for	Expected goals (xg) against	Match total	1st-half total
6 Jul	World Cup	Spain (H)	0-1	0	0	0	-
2 Jul	World Cup	Croatia (H)	2-1	2	1	3	-
27 Jun	World Cup	Colombia (A)	0-0	0	1	1	-
23 Jun	World Cup	Uzbekistan (H)	5-0	2	0	2	-
17 Jun	World Cup	DR Congo (H)	1-1	1	0	1	-
31 Mar	Friendly International	USA (A)	0-2	1	0	1	-
29 Mar	Friendly International	Mexico (A)	0-0	1	0	1	-
16 Nov	WC Qualification Europe	Armenia (H)	9-1	5	0	5	-